Juan Luis Eugenio-Martin

Head of EITT Research Group (EITT Research Group)                  My CV: [Link]

Lecturer in Economics

Researcher in Tourism Economics


Editorial Board Member of Tourism Economics

Editorial Board Member of Journal of Sustainable Tourism




Phone: +34 928 458205

E-mail: juanluis.eugenio @ ulpgc.es

Last papers

Previous paper


Work in progress

Eugenio-Martin, J.L. and J.M. Cazorla-Artiles (2020)


The shares method for revealing latent tourism demand



This paper develops an intuitive methodology to reveal latent tourism demand. The aim is to quantify its scale by distinguishing the pair of origin-destination and the kind of tourism. The methodology starts measuring the market size that depends on origin population size and their willingness to participate in outbound tourism. Additionally, it takes into account the varying preferences of each origin population for different kinds of tourism. Finally, it compares the current market share of tourism with the expected market share, which is estimated using a random parameter logit model. The study draws on data from EU-28 countries. It provides indicators to select target markets to be strengthened and design strategies based on better air connectivity or oriented marketing campaigns.



Eugenio-Martin, J.L. and U. Perez-Granja (2020)


Have low cost carriers crowded out full services and charter carriers in tourism destinations? A trivariate structural time series analysis



Long haul tourist arrivals depend on the airline market, its size and the degree of competition. This paper studies the entry and exit of full service carriers (FSC), charter carriers (CC) and low cost carriers (LCC) from two origins: UK and Germany; and five sun and beach Spanish destinations. The relationship among all kinds of airlines is captured with a trivariate structural time series model which allows for disentangling the airlines responses under common shocks of airlines entry and/or exit. It provides estimates of immediate responses as well as indicators of responses over time. The results show that in the British market, the LCC entry has crowded out FSC as well as CC. However, in the German market, the results are heterogeneous and, overall, they do not support the existence of such crowding out effect.



7th IATE 2019 at Universidad de La Plata (Argentina): [Link]


Past conference 6th IATE 2017 was at University of Bologna, in Rimini Campus



Papers in progress:

1. On Airbnb entry phenomenon

2. Income-based optimal tourism carrying capacity (with Federico Inchausti and Yeray Moro)

3. On the economic impact of golf tourism (with Juan Antonio Campos-Soria)

4. On tourism local impact on employment (with Estefania Sanchez)

5. On ex-ante tourist attraction pricing (with Sergio Ardila and Adela Moreda)

6. On tourism project assessment with computable general equilibrium and cost-benefit analysis (with Ginés de Rus and Federico Inchausti)

7. On the impact of Covid19 on tourism demand (with A. Moreda, J.M. Munguia and A. Risso)

8. On complementarity and substitutability of tourist attractions (with Estefania Sanchez)

11. On tourism climate index with hurdles (with Federico Inchausti)

12. On repeat visits phenomenon with asymmetric distributions (with José Mª Pérez and Jorge Pérez)

13. On Bayesian structural time series modelling for nowcasting Covid19 consequences (with José M. Cazorla)



Research interests


Tourism Economics. In particular: Determinants of tourism demand; Forecasting; Economic impacts assessment; Optimal tourism development; and Sustainable Tourism.


Methodologies of interest: Microeconometrics; Structural Time Series; Panel data; Multicriteria decision making; Structural equations modelling; and Computable general equilibrium.



Key publications:


Eugenio-Martin, J.L. and F. Inchausti-Sintes (2016) "Low-cost travelling and tourism expenditures", Annals of Tourism Research, Vol 57: 140-159. [On-line paper]


Eugenio-Martin, J.L. and J.A. Campos-Soria (2014) “Economic crisis and tourism expenditure cutback decision”, Annals of Tourism Research, Vol. 44: 53-73. [On-line paper]


Eugenio-Martin, J.L. and J.A. Campos-Soria (2010) "Climate in the region of origin and destination choice in outbound tourism demand", Tourism Management, Vol. 31(6): 744-753. [On-line paper]


Eugenio-Martin, J.L., N. Martin-Morales and R. Scarpa (2004) "Tourism and economic growth in Latin American countries: a panel data approach". Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) Working Paper No. 26.2004. [via SSRN] [via IDEAS] [via EconPapers]


Eugenio-Martin, J.L. (2003) "Modelling determinants of tourism demand as a five-stage process: A discrete choice methodological approach", Tourism and Hospitality Research, Vol. 4 (4): 341-354. [Pre-print version] [On-line paper]


This version: June 2020